Reflection
Today’s post isn’t technical, but it is necessary. It’s a mix of gratitude, $NKE updates, and the quiet 'work' of solidifying a new concept before I put it into words. As we hit the halfway mark of January, I’m moving from 'just getting started' to 'staying disciplined' for the rest of 2026.
I don't have rules set up or a specific goal so far in January. The main goal was getting started and learning and then writing daily about it just unraveled during it. As we're halfway into January, I will spend this weekend mapping out some goals and rules, for which I will hold myself accountable and disciplined through the entire 2026. I do however, have come up with one rule and that is never take the same asset as a contract after its completion.
Why do I say this? While I don't have regrets on the $NKE open contract for $66 on January 23, 2026 – I do acknowledge that it was on a whim as I saw the bullish momentum of it when I closed my first contract for $63. Apparently this is called "revenge trading" or "greed trading" when you move from a winning trade to a chasing trade. I don't regret it because I've been using it to learn and understand and navigate the stock market by truly living it, which is my "slogan" if you will. I've expressed that I've read that the market exposes who you are and your emotions. Your greed, your desperation, your calmness even, discipline, etcetera. And while I didn't actively open a second $NKE contract out of desperation, it certainly didn't come from a calm and collected place but rather a rushed moment. Now, I haven't stopped the loss with one week left, at the moment I don't see the point for two reasons:
- There's one week left and based on yesterday's analysis and today's performance, I still feel confidence in the support price we're having. Which means that next week may be bullish OR remain the same.
- If it remains the same, then I'll just keep the $NKE share and hold it.
In addition, although the year over year income was down, we saw that Nike beat the analysts expectations where Earnings Per Share (EPS) were estimated to be $0.37 but reported $0.53, that's a 35% difference. So it means something to me. Also, Tim Cook being a board director and purchasing $3M worth of $NKE was significant in my decision on this purchase as well back in December. Although I asked myself, was that a strategy to save Nike? I don't think so but the thought crossed my mind. For what it's worth, Tim has insider knowledge that may not be readily available to the general public, and as you know, aside from the products provided, there is an existing partnership between Apple and Nike. So, with that being said, it may mean a good future for Nike.
We can talk about the rules I'll be setting up on Monday since it's a federal holiday, and they will be ever changing (my rules). I mean, I have been doing the learning seriously for 16 days only and not actively trading, so I don't feel bad for this one. Either way, I will sit down and think ahead and follow through in the continuity of the year. I will say this though, I feel really proud of myself for identifying the support and calling it for today's performance, it held. Sure, I half predicted possible reversal but I'm content with the call on the support, it's a big accomplishment to be able to understand that through 15 days of knowledge and price data.
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