New Short Week - Enhanced Approach
I only traded once last week. After that, my analysis for September 3, 2026 was decent. Walmart did in fact trade up, but I felt hesitant to take it because I was only 2% focused in it since I had work meetings. There was no clear set up for me for September 4, 2026 so I avoided trading.
I've taken the long weekend to enhance the system I am currently building. While I am good at identifying patterns to understand which sector the money is likely to flow into the next day, there were some blindspots that I hadn't considered. For example, the quite institutional capital moving into the sectors. So, I've updated the logic to include this. See below:

In the above, I am pulling the data from September 4th at closing. I've integrated data using the last 5 days to calculate the relative volume and the absorption factor. At the same time, I've added an accumulation factor in the table above.
Now, given that this is an enhanced model, tomorrow will be the first day I test this new integration. As shown, the three prospect sectors to consider based on RVOL, AR, Accumulation and volume ratio, we see that it is XLI, XLK, and XLU. If I were using my old model, I'd only be considering XLF and XLP. We'll see how tomorrow plays out using the new approach.
Let's drill down to the actual holdings for tomorrow within the prospected sectors:
- AVGO & MU within XLK
- CSX & HON within XLI
As usual, I won't trade the first 30 minutes to get a pulse of the market within the first 30 minutes. I'm not going to force a trade tomorrow, I do feel anticipation as it is a new model, and the market has been closed for 3 days.
I'm not entirely sure what to expect tomorrow, but I am certainly ready to face it.
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